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Oil majors to make $3,000 a second in 2026 as families face energy squeeze -Oxfam

Abatify Summary

Nature & Climate Perspective

**The sustained dominance of fossil fuel profits by oil majors directly slows the capital rotation required for large-scale LULUCF restoration and Blue Carbon preservation. **

  • Projected $3,000-per-second profits signal a continued reliance on extractive activities that threaten biodiversity through infrastructure expansion in sensitive biomes.
  • The concentration of wealth in traditional energy sectors delays the deployment of Nature-Based Solutions (NbS) that rely on private-sector investment to achieve long-term carbon sequestration.
  • Persistent fossil fuel extraction risks exceeding planetary boundaries, undermining the environmental integrity that high-quality carbon projects aim to protect.

Market & Policy Outlook

**Massive fossil fuel liquidity creates a systemic barrier to SBTi-aligned decarbonization and challenges the adoption of ICVCM-compliant high-integrity carbon credits. **

  • Excessive profitability in high-carbon sectors may lead to regulatory pushback, such as windfall taxes, which could be redirected toward Article 6.2 and 6.4 climate finance mechanisms.
  • The disparity between corporate earnings and household energy costs increases the likelihood of more stringent Scope 3 reporting mandates to force accountability for downstream emissions.
  • Market volatility driven by oil profits complicates the valuation of transition-linked financial instruments, making it harder for CCP-compliant projects to compete with traditional energy yields.
Six of the world’s biggest oil and gas companies are projected to earn almost $3,000 every second in 2026 while households continue to struggle with energy costs worldwide, Oxfam warned on Monday, one day before the first global conference on transitioning away from fossil fuels.

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